Europe has been struggling with a wave of terrorist attacks amid mounting tensions and uncertainty on the continent. Experts warn that terrorist attacks can inspire others and terrorism tends to be contagious
The wave of terrorist attacks afflicting Europe is showing signs of "contagion," experts warn, at a time when the continent is already in the throes of an existential crisis.
In less than two weeks DAESH extremists claimed four bloody assaults in France and Germany that killed nearly 90 people, wounded hundreds and left the continent on edge.
Experts say each attack can inspire another, with extremists egged on further by the media spotlight the atrocities attract. "Terrorism tends to be contagious," international security consultant Benoit Gomis told Agence France-Presse (AFP), citing previous research that has shown attacks since the 1970s have occurred in "clusters or bursts." "The last few months confirm this decades-long trend," he added.
The attacks come as Europe grapples with ever-mounting tensions and uncertainty.
The Greek debt standoff, the migrant crisis that saw more than a million people stream into Europe in 2015, and most recently Britain's shock vote to quit the European Union have come on top of an enduring economic malaise. "It's a tipping point. Where do we go from here?" asked radicalization expert Tahir Abbas of London's Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank.
"My fear is that it could get a lot worse because of the underlying conditions, and the economy is weak."
Over 12 days starting July 14, a driver ploughed a 19-ton truck into the crowd leaving a fireworks display in Nice, a man attacked train passengers with an axe in Bavaria, another blew himself up outside a music festival, also in Bavaria, and two extremists slashed a priest's throat in northern France.
During the same period, nine people were shot dead at a Munich mall by an 18-year-old "obsessed" with mass killers like Norwegian right-wing fanatic Anders Behring Breivik, authorities said.
Emily Winterbotham, a senior researcher at RUSI, said the recent surge in violence "could be because people are emboldened by seeing others' acts, seeing they can cause so much damage by driving a lorry down a busy road. "They are emboldened by seeing other people 'succeed'."
Both the Munich mall shooter and the driver of the truck that rammed the crowd in Nice, killing 84, had done research on previous mass killings.
The wall-to-wall news coverage that follows major attacks can also encourage would-be extremists, said Michael Jetter, a University of Western Australia professor who has studied the effect of media coverage on terrorist activity. "There is the potential that people disenfranchised from society, or who are very unhappy, young males that are not integrated into societies, may be drawn to such coverage and think 'Hey, if I do this, I will get my two or three days of fame,' " he added. "And it's what we should try to avoid."
On Wednesday, several major French media outlets decided they would no longer use pictures of the perpetrators of attacks, including one that said it would stop naming them.
Researchers have noted a similar interplay between media attention and so-called suicide clusters, which occur when several people take their own lives in a short period often in a defined geographical area.
DAESH's violent ideology can provide would-be attackers the justification and framework they are looking for to trigger massacres, experts say.
And while DAESH has lost ground in recent months in Syria and Iraq, its propaganda machine -- which uses slick videos and publications to inspire attacks – is as strong as ever.
"The violent mindset ... of this group [DAESH] is spreading like a contagion, by winning the hearts and minds of young people who perhaps have never even met the leaders of ISIS [DAESH] or Al-Qaida and their branches," said Sara Silvestri, a Cambridge University expert on Islam in Europe.
And as extremist violence breeds copycat attacks, it also fans fears of reprisals that threaten to further divide society – exactly as DAESH wants, experts say.
France, home to Europe's largest Muslim community, saw anti-Muslim acts of hate triple in 2015, with spikes coming after last year's two major extremist attacks in Paris in January and November. "Taking it one step further, let's hope that we don't see a retaliation" for the priest's murder, said RUSI's Winterbotham.
Islamophobia and xenophobia have long been on the rise in European countries. Facing fear of scapegoating, many Muslims felt obliged to speak out against terrorism and say the killings do not represent their faith, especially after attacks by DAESH extremists in Paris that killed 130 people in November. Similarly, after an attack on a nightclub in Orlando last month, Muslim community in the U.S. faced hate-filled insults and abuse. The refugee crisis and DAESH threat have pushed voters into the arms of far-right parties, whose support has been surging in many countries in Europe.