The future of the AK Party


The year 2013 was one of the most eventful in Turkey's history. In January, with the announcement of the reconciliation process, three women from the PKK were brutally murdered in Paris. This violent act of provocation that tried to weaken the process did not achieve its intended goal.In February, an attack on the U.S. Embassy in Ankara by a radical left terrorist organization, the Revolutionary People's Liberation Party-Front (DHKP-C), one of the groups active in the Gezi Park protests. That was followed by other terrorist attacks on the Justice and Development Party (AK Party) headquarters and the Justice Ministry in Ankara. In the following days, the transcript of the meeting the Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) delegation had with the PKK's imprisoned leader Abdullah Öcalan on İmralı Island was leaked to the press. This transcript, which was expected to cause public resentment, conversely increased confidence in the negotiations.In May, one of the most fatal terrorist attacks in Turkey's history took place in Reyhanlı. As a result of the attack, some 52 people were killed and 146 injured.In June, Turkey witnessed the most large-scaled uprising in its history. People attempted to occupy the Prime Ministry office in Istanbul and then Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's house in Ankara. Taksim Square, one of the most buzzing locations in Turkey, was barricaded for 14 days. The demonstrators and vandals could not achieve their aims though. Erdoğan was not overthrown through the street demonstrations. Turkey's democracy was victorious once again.The Dec. 17 and Dec. 25 operations, which revealed the parallel structure's strategy to seize control of the state, were conducted. It was introduced as a corruption and bribery operation, but at last this parallel structure was deciphered.The March 30 local elections, the first of the three elections of vital importance for determining Turkey's future, were held in such an atmosphere. The AK Party won the election with 44 percent, a record rate in the history of local elections. Subsequently, the second vital election, the presidential election, was held by popular vote for the first time and Erdoğan won.Within this period, the law on the reconciliation process was approved and enacted. The process of returning non-Muslim foundations gained speed and their rights to build schools were expanded and made easier. More importantly, the state broke the taboos regarding Armenian deportation for the first time after 99 years. Erdoğan, prime minister at the time, issued an official condolence and called both Armenia and the Armenian diaspora to compensate for the past and build the future. The headscarf ban was lifted to a great extent and a law on hate crimes was approved by Parliament. Turkey became one of the several countries recognizing the Egyptian coup and stood out among the others as the one that raised its voice the most. While the oil contract with the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) started to bare its first fruit, it was also declared that Turkey came to terms with Russia on the "Turkish stream" agreement.Now we have the general elections ahead, which will determine who will rule Turkey until June 2019. The AK Party will join this election with another chairman for the first time, Ahmet Davutoğlu. But seemingly this will not influence the results since Davutoğlu is already the second name favored by AK Party proponents. Also, since Erdoğan does not have a complex to prove that his ties with his party are cut like other presidents in the past, he still maintains his abilities to mobilize AK Party supporters.After gaining victory again in the 2015 elections, challenging tasks will await the AK Party such as the formation of a new constitution, finalization of the reconciliation process and managing the Syrian crisis with minimum damage. If a critical problem does not arise in economy management, the future of the AK Party will seemingly continue to be synonymous with the future of Turkey.