The Key to Turkey’s Continued Progress


For some time now, commentators have been constantly talking about the "New Turkey agenda," which refers to a process of democratic construction. We cannot afford to forget, however, that a new world order – where 'new' denotes destruction rather than novelty – is emerging outside the country's borders. It is as if an invisible hand reached into the Middle East and the Black Sea region to breathe new life into seemingly inactive conflict zones.Over the past week, the developments in Pakistan have felt awfully familiar. Though, having witnessed the mass demonstrations against President Mohamed Morsi in Egypt and the Gezi Park protests in Turkey, it remains difficult to accept the supposedly genuine call for freedom and democracy. The model, while painful, is relatively simple: it starts with seemingly legitimate chaos, and, before long, a new government willing to play its part in the world system comes to power. Personally, I will not be surprised if the developments in Pakistan lead to not only a new government, but also shifting national borders and the emergence of a new policy in the region.When street protests and clashes in Islamabad first made the news, I immediately thought of the 2006 map of the New Middle East that Lieutenant-Colonel Ralph Peters published in the Journal of the Armed Forces. I looked up the infamous map whose implications former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice described as "the birth pangs of a new Middle East." After all, officials from Turkey's Ministries of Defense and Foreign Affairs protested the three-way split of Iraq when the map made it to the NATO Summit in Rome, Italy.The same map proposed the division of another country, Pakistan, into three parts. A sizeable portion of land was marked as Afghanistan, which had grown multiple times in the aftermath of a U.S. intervention that had turned its politics and society to dust. Who would have thought, after all, that a military campaign that set out to eliminate the Taliban would expand radicalism in neighboring Pakistan? But the Pentagon had obviously done the math to produce a map just five years after the intervention. Meanwhile, Pakistan, a nuclear power where civilized Islam struggles for survival, was reduced to a small strip of land between Islamabad in the North to Karachi in the South. To the Southwest, a new country called Baluchestan had been formed on former Pakistani and Iranian soil. To be honest, recent developments in the region make one think that the dark speculations of this infamous map were perhaps serious projections after all.Now, let us turn to Turkey. The situation in Iraq and Syria is as clear as day. Tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia, which seemed to have eased for some time, rose to the point of renewed conflict. The Ukraine crisis has been getting worse, and it does not take a foreign policy expert to grasp how NATO's willingness to extend a membership offer to the country could put strains on Turkey's position in the region. The situation at hand suggests that chronic conflict areas are rapidly emerging, and there is a deliberate effort to exploit each country's weak spots. As such, it would appear that the world has come to the brink of a new struggle over distribution of resources and power. The above points straight to the following: Turkey will have to ensure peace at home if it does not wish to allow violent conflict outside its borders to slow down or reverse its progress. For this purpose, the authorities must disempower any group that opposes peace, including certain elements within the bureaucracy, by all means necessary.