Greece again: Yes

Now that Tsipras has a little more time to think about reforming what has remained unable to be reformed, meaning a huge and unproductive public sector, it is high time to take real revolutionary steps, like demilitarizing the Aegean, for instance



Sophocles, Aeschylus and Euripides together would not dream of a better story to write new tragedies. Better than Orestes, Jason and the Argonaut and Theseus together, the tale of Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras the Infelicitous fighting against three bloodthirsty harpies would have made a great classic. Alas, as we lack those kinds of incredible genial tragedy writers of ancient Greece nowadays, we have to stick to daily analyses and columns, such as this one, to make the whole story intelligible.Let us first see that in the international arena, there are three very important negotiation rounds that are being held simultaneously. The Iran nuclear deal, which brings together the P5+1 countries with Iran, are being held in Vienna. This is a hugely important deal in which Iran, which decidedly went out of the international system and rules in 1979, is preparing and finalizing its normalization. It is also the first big international negotiation where Germany has a seat alongside the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council. An accord is nearing, which is likely to alter, hopefully in a positive way, the stability in the region and to make out of Iran a more predictable country.The second deal is no less historic, bringing together in Cuba the Colombian government with the representatives of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Columbia-People's Army (FARC), an armed organization in revolt against the elected government and controlling a forest area within Colombia that is as large as France. On Sunday, a mutual accord was obtained for the first time since 1964, nearing a long-lasting peace treaty. The international media has been covering the Iranian nuclear deal with importance. The Colombian deal is hardly known at all. But the deal we know best is the third one. Because the third deal is part of our daily lives, we have been following, mostly with worry and uneasiness, the fate of Greece to be discussed by its partners in the EU, round the clock on television. Despite a very anti-austerity government, an ill-prepared but very limpid referendum result saying "no" to austerity measures, Greece had to accept an even stronger reforms plus austerity package.Greece did not have anything better to do than surrender, because the present situation in which the banks are virtually closed down and elderly people line up under the July sun to get 60 euros per day, the maximum sum allowed, was not sustainable at all. The Greek economy was shut down by the European institutions, to show how dreadful the economic situation in Greece would become if the government continues to refuse to abide by the austerity program. Incidentally, to show Greece who's boss. So now we have a new bailout package for Greece, which still has to be ratified by eurozone countries' parliaments and by the Greek parliament as well. But it seems unlikely that after such marathon negotiations the deal obtained could be sabotaged by a single government or parliament.The package for a bailout is exactly the same as the previous ones, but this time the EU countries - read: Germany and central European countries - do not have any trust left in Greece. They require that not only the Greek parliament pass a number of laws, but they also wish to establish a Greek version of Treuhandanstalt (Trust Agency) to take over privatization operations in Greece. The idea was first to implement an independent agency in Luxemburg, but it would really be a total hit to Greek national sovereignty. There is no new haircut for the debt, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stays at the table. Tsipras has lost all the way.It is a relief to see that banks will soon be opened again in Greece, but that is the limit of the relief. With or without a Treuhandanstalt-like organization, with or without the euro, Greece cannot pay back this debt, not now, not ever. Now that Tsipras has a little more time to think about reforming what has remained unable to be reformed, meaning a huge and unproductive public sector, it is high time to take real revolutionary steps, like demilitarizing the Aegean, for instance. Otherwise, asking the Greeks to espouse the living conditions of the Spartans of antiquity is not a real perspective and could lead to very dangerous results.