Kremlin dubs ‘not so great’ outlook for Black Sea grain deal
Commercial vessels including vessels which are part of Black Sea grain deal wait to pass the Bosporus strait off the shores of Yenikapı during a misty morning in Istanbul, Türkiye, Oct. 31, 2022. (Reuters Photo)


The Kremlin Wednesday said the outlook for the landmark U.N., Türkiye-brokered Black Sea grain deal was not great as promises to remove obstacles to Russian exports of agricultural and fertilizer exports had not been fulfilled.

The grain deal is an attempt to ease a food crisis that predated the Russian invasion of Ukraine but has been made worse by the most deadly war in Europe since World War Two.

Due to expire next month in its current form, the agreement was first signed by Russia, Ukraine, Türkiye and the U.N. in July last year and twice extended.

On paper, it allows for the export of food and fertilizer, including ammonia, from three Ukrainian Black Sea ports. But Moscow says that Russian food and fertilizer exports are compromised by obstacles such as insurance and payment hindrances that must be removed.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said the current agreement was not working for Russia, despite some efforts by the U.N. to implement the parts of the deal relating to Moscow's interests.

"No deal can stand on one leg: It must stand on two legs," Peskov told reporters. "In this regard, of course, judging by the state of play today, the outlook (for its extension) is not so great."

Russia and Ukraine are two of the most important producers of agricultural commodities globally and significant players in the wheat, barley, maize, rapeseed, rapeseed oil, sunflower seed, and sunflower oil markets. Russia is also dominant in the fertilizer market.

Over 27 million tons of grain and other foodstuffs have been exported from Ukraine aboard 881 outbound vessels since the Black Sea Grain Initiative began in August, official data shows.

Last month, Russia said it would extend the deal for another 60 days even though the U.N., Ukraine and Türkiye had pushed for a repeat 120-day rollover. Moscow says it is due to expire on May 18.

"Exactly half of this deal has not worked and is not working so far," Peskov said.

"We know that U.N. representatives are making some efforts, but they are not succeeding, and still, the second half of the deal does not work," Peskov said.

Russia has repeatedly said that any further extension of the deal will require a host of its demands to be fulfilled by the West, including the reconnection of the Russian Agricultural Bank (Rosselkhozbank) to the SWIFT payment system.

Other demands include resuming agricultural machinery and parts supplies, lifting restrictions on insurance and reinsurance, access to ports, resumption of the Togliatti-Odesa ammonia pipeline and the unblocking of assets and the accounts of Russian companies involved in food and fertilizer exports.