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Russian ruble nears 4-week high versus dollar, euro

by Reuters

MOSCOW Aug 19, 2022 - 6:42 pm GMT+3
Russian 100-ruble banknotes are placed on a cashier's desk at a supermarket in the Siberian town of Tara in the Omsk region, Russia, Dec. 14, 2021. (Reuters Photo)
Russian 100-ruble banknotes are placed on a cashier's desk at a supermarket in the Siberian town of Tara in the Omsk region, Russia, Dec. 14, 2021. (Reuters Photo)
by Reuters Aug 19, 2022 6:42 pm

The ruble strengthened to a near four-week high against the dollar and euro on Friday, supported by month-end tax payments that boost demand for the Russian currency, while shares in fertilizer producer Phosagro surged after strong results.

By 3:20 p.m. GMT, the ruble was 0.7% stronger against the dollar at 59.12 after briefly hitting 57.70, a level last seen on July 25.

Against the euro, the ruble gained 1.4% to 59.35, also reaching a near four-week high of 58.5325 during the session.

The ruble is set to see support from month-end taxes that usually prompt export-focused companies to increase the conversion of their foreign currency revenues to meet local obligations.

But analysts say that in the longer run, the ruble could give up some gains due to changes in Russia's foreign trade.

"Before the end of the year, we expect the start of gradual ruble weakening in the 65-70 corridor to the dollar or euro, influenced by a likely correction in oil prices, as well as an increase in import volumes - due to seasonal factors and recovery after a dip in spring 2022," said Maxim Petronevich, senior economist at Otkritie Research.

Year-to-date, the ruble has become the world's best-performing currency as a result of capital controls that Russia imposed after beginning what it calls "a special military operation" in Ukraine on Feb. 24.

Ruble volatility has subsided after wild swings that saw it hit a record low of 121.53 to the dollar on the Moscow Exchange in March and then rally to a seven-year peak of 50.01 in June.

On the stock market, the dollar-denominated RTS index rose 0.5% to 1,168.0 points. The ruble-based MOEX Russian index was 0.1% lower at 2,192.2 points.

Shares in Phosagro outperformed the market and hit their highest since March, settling up 2.4% after the company said late on Thursday that its net profit rose by 165% in the first half of 2022 and its board recommended to pay 780 rubles ($13.18) per share in dividends.

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