Acemoğlu, Johnson and Robinson win 2024 Nobel Prize in economics
The Nobel Economics Prize is awarded to Daron Acemoğlu, Simon Johnson and James A Robinson, seen on screen during a press meeting at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm, Sweden, Oct. 14, 2024. (Reuters Photo)


Turkish-born Daron Acemoğlu, Simon Johnson and James Robinson won the 2024 Nobel Economics Prize for research that explains why societies with poor rule of law and exploitative institutions do not generate sustainable growth, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced on Monday.

The three economists "have demonstrated the importance of societal institutions for a country's prosperity," the Nobel committee of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said at the announcement in Stockholm.

Acemoğlu, 57, and Johnson, 61, work at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), while Robinson, 64, conducts his research at the University of Chicago.

"Reducing the vast differences in income between countries is one of our time's greatest challenges. The laureates have demonstrated the importance of societal institutions for achieving this," Jakob Svensson, Chair of the Committee for the Prize in Economic Sciences, said.

He said their research has provided "a much deeper understanding of the root causes of why countries fail or succeed."

Reached by the academy in Athens, Greece, where he was due to speak at a conference, Acemoğlu said he was surprised and shocked by the award.

"You never expect something like this," he said.

A Turkish-American economist, Acemoğlu said the research honored by the prize underscores the value of democratic institutions.

"I think, broadly speaking, the work that we have done favors democracy," he said in a telephone call with the Nobel committee and reporters in Stockholm.

But he added that "democracy is not a panacea. Introducing democracy is very hard. When you introduce elections, that sometimes creates conflict."

Asked about how economic growth in countries like China fits into the theories, Acemoğlu said, "My perspective is generally that these authoritarian regimes, for a variety of reasons, are going to have a harder time ... in achieving ... long-term sustainable innovation outcomes."

Laureate of the 2024 Nobel Economics Prize Daron Acemoğlu, an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), attends the 8th Sustainability Summit for SE Europe and the Mediterranean, Athens, Greece, Oct. 14, 2024. (Reuters Photo)
This image provided by the University of Chicago shows James A. Robinson, one of three winners of the 2024 Nobel Economics Prize. (The University of Chicago via AP)

Türkiye's Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek congratulated Acemoğlu on the prize.

"We wholeheartedly congratulate esteemed economist Mr. Daron Acemoğlu for winning the 2024 Nobel Economics Prize for his work on the formation of institutions and their impact on prosperity," Şimşek wrote on social media X.

Acemoğlu and Robinson wrote the 2012 bestseller "Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty,'' which argued that human-made problems were responsible for keeping countries poor.

'Natural experiment'

In their work, the winners looked, for instance, at the city of Nogales, which straddles the U.S.-Mexico border.

Despite sharing the same geography and climate, many of the same ancestors, and a common culture, life is very different on either side of the border. In Nogales, Arizona, to the north, residents are relatively well-off and live long lives; most children graduate from high school. To the south, in Mexico's Nogales, Sonora, "residents here are in general considerably poorer... Organized crime makes starting and running companies risky. Corrupt politicians are difficult to remove," the Nobel committee wrote.

The difference, the economists found, is a U.S. system that protects property rights and gives citizens a say in their government.

Acemoğlu expressed worry Monday that democratic institutions in the United States and Europe were losing support from the population.

"Democracies particularly underperform when the population thinks they underdeliver," he said. "This is a time when democracies are going through a rough patch ... It is, in some sense, quite crucial that they reclaim the high ground of better governance."

The economists also studied the institutional changes that European powers such as Britain and Spain put in place when they colonized much of the world starting in the 1600s. They brought different policies to different places, giving later researchers a "natural experiment" to analyze.

Colonies that were sparsely populated offered less resistance to foreign rule and, therefore, attracted more settlers. In those places, colonial governments tended to establish more inclusive economic institutions that "incentivized settlers to work hard and invest in their new homeland. In turn, this led to demands for political rights that gave them a share of profits," according to the Nobel committee.

In more densely populated places that attracted fewer settlers, the colonial regimes limited political rights and set up institutions that focused on "benefiting a local elite at the expense of the wider population... Paradoxically, this means that the parts of the colonized world that were relatively the most prosperous around 500 years ago are now those that are relatively poor." India's industrial production, for example, exceeded the American colonies' in the 18th century.

The economics prize is formally known as the Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. The central bank established it in 1968 as a memorial to Nobel, the 19th-century Swedish businessman and chemist who invented dynamite and established the five Nobel Prizes.

Though Nobel purists stress that the economics prize is technically not a Nobel Prize, it is always presented together with the others on Dec. 10, the anniversary of Nobel's death in 1896.

Past winners include a host of influential thinkers such as Milton Friedman, John Nash – played by actor Russell Crowe in the 2001 film "A Beautiful Mind" – and, more recently, former U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Ben Bernanke.

Last year, Harvard economic historian Claudia Goldin won the prize for her work highlighting the causes of wage and labor market inequality between men and women.

The economics prize has been dominated by U.S. academics since its inception, while U.S.-based researchers also tend to account for a large portion of winners in the scientific fields.

This year's Nobel season honored achievements in artificial intelligence for the physics and chemistry prizes, while the Peace Prize went to Nihon Hidankyo, an organization of survivors from Hiroshima and Nagasaki who campaigned for the abolition of nuclear weapons.

South Korea's Han Kang won the literature prize – the only woman laureate this year. U.S. scientists Victor Ambros and Gary Ruvkun won the prize for medicine that lauded discoveries in understanding gene regulation.

The Nobel Prizes consist of a diploma, a gold medal, and a $1 million reward.