The European Union on Thursday officially slammed Chinese electric vehicle (EV) makers with extra provisional duties on imports of up to nearly 38% because of "unfair" state subsidies, despite Beijing's warnings the move would unleash a trade war and earlier suggestions the duo would solve the row through talks.
A European Commission probe launched last year concluded that state subsidies for Chinese EV manufacturers were unfairly undercutting European rivals – which Brussels wants to shield as they make the transition from thermal to electric power.
The Chinese Chamber of Commerce to the EU slammed the tariffs, coming on top of current import duties of 10%, as "politically motivated" and "protectionist," while voicing hope the dispute could be resolved through dialogue.
Europeans themselves are split on the move, with Germany and its homegrown auto champions, who do significant trade with China, fearing it will do more harm than good if it leads to a clampdown on EU exports as Beijing has already threatened.
German auto giant Volkswagen slammed the move as "detrimental," while the head of BMW said the tariff battle "leads to a dead end."
France and Italy have pushed for tariffs on Chinese EVs – whose market share in the EU has skyrocketed – but Sweden like Germany has expressed reservations, while Hungary is outright opposed.
The provisional tariffs will kick in from Friday, with definitive duties to take effect in November for a period of five years, pending a vote by the EU's 27 member states.
"Our investigation ... concluded that the battery electric vehicles produced in China benefit from unfair subsidization, which is causing a threat of economic injury to the EU's own electric car makers," the EU's trade chief Valdis Dombrovskis said.
In response, the commission imposed provisional duties on major Chinese manufacturers, including 17.4% for market major BYD, 19.9% for Geely and 37.6% for SAIC.
Other producers in China that cooperated with the EU will face a tariff of 20.8%, while those that did not cooperate would be subject to the maximum 37.6% duty.
U.S. tech billionaire Elon Musk's Tesla – which is manufactured in China – is the only electric automaker that has asked Brussels for its own duty rate, to be calculated based on evidence it has submitted.
'Intensive' talks with China
The move comes despite the opening of talks between Chinese and EU trade officials, but Brussels will continue "to engage intensively with China on a mutually acceptable solution," trade chief Dombrovskis said.
China's electric car maker Nio said it still hoped for a resolution with the EU, while fellow EV maker XPeng said it would "find ways to minimize the impact on consumers" without changing its international strategy.
EU officials have indicated that should a negotiated solution emerge, they may not ultimately need to levy the tariffs.
But Dombrovskis cautioned that "any negotiated outcome to our investigation must clearly and fully address EU concerns and be in respect of WTO rules."
Beijing has already signaled its readiness to retaliate by launching an anti-dumping probe last month into pork imports, threatening Spanish exports, and Chinese media suggest further probes could be in the works.
Chinese officials have also railed against EU investigations targeting state subsidies in the green tech sector, including wind turbines and solar panels.
Expected cut to imports
The United States has already hiked customs duties on Chinese electric cars to 100%, while Canada is considering similar action.
But Brussels faces a delicate balancing act as it seeks to defend Europe's auto industry – the jewel in its industrial crown – while both avoiding a damaging showdown with China and meeting its targets for slashing carbon emissions.
The EU aims for Europeans to switch massively to electric vehicles as it plans to outlaw the sale of new fossil fuel-powered cars from 2035.
Chinese-made EVs' market share in the EU climbed from around 3% to more than 20% in the past three years, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA).
Chinese brands account for around 8% of that share, it said.
German displeasure
Germany's Kiel Institute for the World Economy, alongside Austrian institutes, predicted the provisional higher taxes would reduce vehicle imports from China by 42%. They added that electric car prices could rise by an average of 0.3 to 0.9% in the EU.
German auto manufacturers fear any retaliation could hurt their activities in China, and Germany's Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck visited Beijing last month on an 11th-hour mission to avert a damaging trade war.
Duties were "generally not suitable for strengthening the competitiveness of the European automotive industry in the long term – we reject them," Volkswagen said in a statement. The EU refused to comment on the criticism.